This piece is my magnum opus at the moment: People are What Matters, Actually
Some of my favorite pieces I’ve written –
- Ditch Your Car: Ridesharing is More Cost Effective
- Is GameStop a Bank? Modeling the Video Game Market
- Dating Data: An Overview of the Algorithm
- The Calculus Wars: The Power of People
- Do we need a recession?
Commodities
- Taking Some Sense to Make a Nickel
- Oil and the Federal Reserve
- Pricing Agriculture Risk | Interview with Grant Cavanaugh
Geopolitical Analysis
- The Great Balancing Act
- Evergrande: Tip of the Debt Iceberg
- Evergrande and Lots of Debt
- The China Crackdown
- A Brief Update on Russia and Ukraine
- Update on Russia and Ukraine
- Financial Warfare
Game Theory
- Why did Bernie Sanders Drop out of the Election? Lessons from Game Theory
- Chocolate, at Any Cost: The Price Elasticity of the Candy Industry
- Grim Trigger Strategy
- How do You Induce Cooperation?
- Infinite Games: Comparing the Combination of the Value of Defecting + Value of Loss
- Stacks of Cash
Crypto
- Crypto Regulation, Curators, and Semiconductors
- Owning the Online: What are NFTs?
- The Ownership Economy: Regulation and Penguins
- Break it DAOwn Now
- Exploring the Meaning of the Metaverse
- The Polarization of Crypto Narrative
- UST and USD: Everything is Monetary Policy
Market Analysis
- Roblox and the Creator Economy
- The Market as an Athlete: Periodization in Training
- Investing in Disruptors: Profitability in the Age of Monopolies
- A Basic Quantitative Analysis of the Foreign Exchange Market
- Governance through Decentralization on the Blockchain
- Asset/Liability Structure of Depository Institutions and Interest Rate Risk
- The Blaring Horn of Bonds
- Q&A: Wealth Concentration, the 1970s, and Stagflation
The Federal Reserve
Market Guides
- A Guide to the FOMC
- The Secret of Car Sales: The Science of Negotiation
- Digital vs Physical
- The Core: The Importance of Connectors
- Volmaggedon and the Rise of Passive
- Cambrian Explosion
- RRP Explainer
- Narratives, Reflexivity, and Market Go Down
- On Market Movement
- Food Insecurity and the Baby Formula Crisis
Statistics
- Probability vs. Possibility: Lottery Analysis in Quarantine
- The Cost of Love: Appraising The Twelve Days of Christmas
- Pizzmathematics: Which Pizza is Truly the Best?
- Fermata and Staccato: Does Music Predict the Stock Market?
- A Visualization: Correlation vs Causation
- The Nugget Numbers: How Much Chicken is in a Chicken Nugget?
- TikTok and Content Strategy: The Power of Creation
- Natural Language Processing and Naval: The Art of the Podcast
- The Bookstore to the App Store: What Our Apps Say About Us
- Statistics in One Slide
- The App That Knows You Better than You Know Yourself: An Analysis of the TikTok Algorithm
- How the Pandemic has Change the Premium of Living in a City
- Spotify Sentiment Analysis: The Joy of the Jam
Old Market Analysis
- What’s Turning the Markets: The Fed, China, and Debt
- The Roku Story
- American Tower
- Green Dot
- Uber
- Diving into 5G
- Costco
- Lyft
- Boeing
- Microsoft
- PG&E
- Altria
- Under Armour
- Eddie Lampert’s Biggest Failure: Sears and the Importance of Corporate Governance
- Emerging Markets
- EVHC
- Sector Rotation Theory
Market Philosophy
- The Federal Reserve’s Wager
- What’s Going On?
- Why Speculation Drives Markets
- Being Bullish Humanity
- The Divergence Between Expectations and Reality
- How Elon Musk Moves Markets
- Consumption on Demand
- Supply, Demand and the Saga of Stucky Bois
- The Debt Ceiling, Expectations, web3 and the Energy Crisis
- The Traffic Light
- The Disruption of Stability
- The F*ck Around and Find Out Quadrant
- Solutions are the Problem
- Why Money isn’t Real
- The Stonk Market
Startups
- Midwest Arbitrage: Capturing One of America’s Most Undervalued Assets
- Rising Tides: The Science of Salmon Investing
Social Commentary
- Memes as news: The Importance of Short-form content
- The Paradox of Societal Polarization: We are all Hedgefoxes
- The Economic Impact of Bees and the Role of Deceit
- Kyla, Not Kayla
- Seeing the clouds for the first time, again
- Bourgeois Virtues
- The Bare Minimum
- The Uncomfortable Uncertainty of the Unknown
- The Distortion and Disruption of Narratives
Other
- The Why Behind Writing
- We all love math. We just don’t know it
- The Reminder that we Are All Human
- The Art of Running a Good Race
- 50 miles later, I found myself
Options Trading